如何交易总统职位

爱荷华电子市场允许任何拥有互联网连接和 5 美元的人,甚至是在达卡或新西伯利亚的交易员,购买和出售选举中的证券。 此处的示例以简化的形式描述了 2004 年总统选举期间市场的运作方式。

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爱荷华电子市场允许任何拥有互联网连接和 5 美元的人,甚至是在达卡或新西伯利亚的交易员,购买和出售选举中的证券。 此处的示例以简化的形式描述了 2004 年总统选举期间市场的运作方式。 交易员最初以 1 美元购买投资组合,从而获得布什和克里的各一份合约。

选举结束后,收益将根据每位候选人获得的选票份额确定。 尽管交易的金额很小,但选举前的市场价格已被证明在预测竞选结果方面出奇地准确。

点击此处查看示例

Gary Stix, senior editor of mind and brain topics at 大众科学, edits and reports on emerging advances that have propelled brain science to the forefront of the biological sciences. Stix has edited or written cover stories, feature articles and news on diverse topics, ranging from what happens in the brain when a person is immersed in thought to the impact of brain implant technology that alleviates mood disorders such as depression. Before taking over the neuroscience beat, Stix, as 大众科学's special projects editor, was responsible for the magazine's annual single-topic special issues, conceiving of and producing issues on Albert Einstein, Charles Darwin, climate change and nanotechnology. One special issue he oversaw on the topic of time in all of its manifestations won a National Magazine Award. With his wife Miriam Lacob, Stix is co-author of a technology primer called Who Gives a Gigabyte? A Survival Guide for the Technologically Perplexed.

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